Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000526 0.000600 0.000677 0.000766 0.000863 0.000967 0.001086
2026-01-25 0.000420 0.000522 0.000638 0.000779 0.000943 0.001129 0.001353
2026-02-01 0.000356 0.000471 0.000606 0.000778 0.000987 0.001231 0.001535
2026-02-08 0.000297 0.000416 0.000562 0.000754 0.000997 0.001288 0.001663
2026-02-15 0.000253 0.000373 0.000527 0.000735 0.001006 0.001342 0.001783
2026-02-22 0.000223 0.000344 0.000505 0.000731 0.001031 0.001412 0.001923
2026-03-01 0.000199 0.000321 0.000488 0.000729 0.001058 0.001484 0.002065
2026-03-08 0.000175 0.000296 0.000467 0.000719 0.001072 0.001537 0.002184
2026-03-15 0.000155 0.000273 0.000445 0.000707 0.001080 0.001582 0.002292
2026-03-22 0.000145 0.000265 0.000446 0.000725 0.001132 0.001686 0.002480
2026-03-29 0.000135 0.000255 0.000442 0.000736 0.001171 0.001774 0.002648
2026-04-05 0.000121 0.000239 0.000426 0.000727 0.001183 0.001823 0.002764
2026-04-12 0.000108 0.000223 0.000410 0.000720 0.001195 0.001873 0.002884
2026-04-19 0.000100 0.000214 0.000405 0.000726 0.001229 0.001956 0.003051
2026-04-26 0.000092 0.000204 0.000396 0.000727 0.001254 0.002025 0.003200
2026-05-03 0.000080 0.000186 0.000374 0.000705 0.001240 0.002037 0.003267
2026-05-10 0.000070 0.000171 0.000355 0.000687 0.001233 0.002058 0.003346
2026-05-17 0.000064 0.000162 0.000345 0.000682 0.001247 0.002110 0.003472
2026-05-24 0.000058 0.000154 0.000337 0.000681 0.001265 0.002169 0.003609
2026-05-31 0.000052 0.000144 0.000325 0.000672 0.001270 0.002206 0.003713
2026-06-07 0.000047 0.000134 0.000312 0.000660 0.001270 0.002236 0.003807
2026-06-14 0.000045 0.000133 0.000316 0.000677 0.001319 0.002345 0.004022
2026-06-21 0.000042 0.000129 0.000315 0.000687 0.001355 0.002433 0.004209